Approaching Iran's nuclear breakout: Israel, US, Russia and China

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Title : Approaching Iran's nuclear breakout: Israel, US, Russia and China
Link : Approaching Iran's nuclear breakout: Israel, US, Russia and China

Global Review: Has Putin canceled the gentleman's agreement with Netanyahu that granted Israel's air force a nearly free hand against Iranian assets in Syria?

Daniel Pipes: Rumors have spread about such a change but, so far, the Kremlin has not confirmed them. I find it hard to imagine that Moscow will challenge Israel over Syria, a secondary interest for it but a priority for Israel. The Russians will not slide into a confrontation there on behalf of Assad and Khamene'i.

GR: Is China's 25-year, $400 billion agreement with Iran for real?

DP: Signing agreements with large promises and huge numbers is much easier than fulfilling them. Each side has incentive to proclaim this partnership but turning it into reality will be another matter; just note the challenges facing the $62 billion China–Pakistan Economic Corridor.

GR: Tensions are increasing between Israel and Iran: the Hamas war, Hezbollah firing rockets, Iran's new leader, Iran drone attacks against an Israeli-run ship, Iran pushing its nuclear enrichment program. In reply, Israel warns Hezbollah and Iran while pressuring the Biden administration to toughen its policies. Where do you see this going?

DP: What's called the shadow war has intensified of late. I expect it will continue for a long time, unless and until the Israelis expect an Iranian nuclear breakout to be imminent, when it will likely come out of the shadows.

GR: Israel's Defense Minister Benny Gantz stated on Aug. 4 that "Iran has violated all of the guidelines set in the JCPOA and is only around 10 weeks away from acquiring weapons-grade materials necessary for a nuclear weapon." Are we finally reaching a crisis? READ MORE