Iran faces tough choice: Drink from the poisoned chalice or risk more strikes - analysis

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Title : Iran faces tough choice: Drink from the poisoned chalice or risk more strikes - analysis
Link : Iran faces tough choice: Drink from the poisoned chalice or risk more strikes - analysis

Tehran often seemed to try to bluff its way forward, pretending it had lost nothing and was not much weaker in the world's eyes, while demanding "compensation" for the war. Iran has been squirming and kicking since its war with Israel – in which the IDF and the US air forces set its nuclear program back two years, took its ballistic missile program down several notches, and killed many of Iran’s top military and intelligence officials – ended on June 24. After the war, Iran expelled the IAEA and refused to re-engage them for over a month.

The Islamic Republic refused to talk to the US. It was willing to speak to the United Kingdom, Germany, and France (the E-3), but not in a real way that addressed its new dilemmas of losing much of its leverage. In fact, Tehran often seemed to bluff its way forward, pretending it had lost nothing and was not much weaker in the world’s eyes, while demanding “compensation” for the war.

But Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is only the supreme leader in Iran. After years of playing nice with Khamenei out of fear that he might threaten them, the E-3 are now treating Tehran like the threat that it is – threatening it in return with a snapback of global sanctions by August 29 if it does not make some real concessions.

his is a sort of checkmate for Iran because it has no cards to play this time. Anytime the IAEA or E3condemned or threatened it in the past, it would build more nuclear centrifuges and enrich more uranium, making the West pay a price for applying pressure. (Read More)