Russia defeat in Ukraine may influence Iran proxies war on Israel - analysis

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Title : Russia defeat in Ukraine may influence Iran proxies war on Israel - analysis
Link : Russia defeat in Ukraine may influence Iran proxies war on Israel - analysis

Russian setbacks in Ukraine in the last month may have wider consequences in the Middle East.

Hezbollah and other Iranian proxies are watching the conflict in Ukraine. Russia is a key ally of the Syrian regime. Hezbollah, for instance, plays a role in Syria due to the Syrian civil war. Hezbollah has also sent officers and terror cells to areas near the Golan. A setback for Russia will cause concerns in Damascus and also may worry Tehran and its proxies. 

This is a complex issue because there is a lack of clarity in terms of Russian support for Iran and it does not appear Russia backs Iran’s proxies or its conflict with Israel. However, Russia plays a role in stabilizing the Syrian regime. The stability of the Syrian regime enables Iran to operate in parts of Syria. Therefore, Russian success in Ukraine matters to Iran because if Russia is weaker then it can mean that the West will be stronger in dealing with Iran and other authoritarian regimes.


On the other hand, the more Russia focuses on Ukraine, the more Iran can expand its role in Syria. Russian defeat on the battlefield overall will illustrate to Iran that Russian military technology is not as good as Moscow has claimed, which would also influence Iran’s decisions regarding relying on that technology. 

Russia tells Hezbollah US to blame

This complex matrix of issues means that Iran’s proxies are also looking at what is happening in Ukraine. READ MORE


Russia defeat in Ukraine may influence Iran proxies war on Israel - analysis

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Russia defeat in Ukraine may influence Iran proxies war on Israel - analysis


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